The Atlantic hurricane season 2016 has been fairly tame, as far as Southwest Florida is concerned. We haven’t had a major storm come close to hitting our area, and for that, we should be thankful.
But, there’s a long way to go until November, and anything could happen – including the possibility of stronger storms coming our way.
According to meteorologists at the U.S. Climate Prediction Center, conditions could intensify and cause more, stronger storms as we move into the second half of the season.
There is now an 85-percent chance that this year’s season will be either normal or above normal, up from 75 percent back in May. That translates into 12-17 tropical storms, which include 5-8 hurricanes – both slightly higher than the original predictions this past spring.
And overall, the season is still expected to be the strongest hurricane season in the Atlantic since 2012.
Why the change? The Climate Prediction Center says that the “main development region” (MDR), the place in the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic where most storms form, is going to change due to weaker wind shear, the absence of El Niño, weaker trade winds, and a stronger monsoon season in west Africa.
So far this year, we’ve seen just five named storms, including just two hurricanes. Both hurricanes were nowhere near Southwest Florida.
That doesn’t mean we won’t face any danger from storms, though. We’re still in prime position for a named storm. And we all know Florida’s history with those storms (many homeowners down here still have memories of the destruction caused by Hurricane Wilma in 2005).
If you haven’t taken steps to protect your home from powerful storms, you should take action now before things get worse. It’s always better to be cautious now rather than sorry later if/when a named storm comes through.
Contact us if you want to know more about how you can make arrangements for professionals to care for your home.